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Started by Tom@gregpalast.c
Thu, 19 May 2005 02:00
Here is the smoking gun
Author: Tom@gregpalast.c
Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 02:00
Date: Thu, 19 May 2005 02:00
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This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --00116285878678810301703231714010733755134501105721 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit The memo that has "IMPEACH HIM" written all over it. The top-level government memo marked "SECRET AND STRICTLY PERSONAL", dated eight months before Bush sent us into Iraq, following a closed meeting with the President, reads, "Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove Saddam through military action justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy." Read that again: "The intelligence and facts were being fixed...." For years, after each damning report on BBC TV, viewers inevitably ask me, "Isn't this grounds for impeachment?" -- vote rigging, a blind eye to terror and the bin Ladens before 9-11, and so on. Evil, stupidity and self-dealing are shameful but not impeachable. What's needed is a "high crime or misdemeanor." And if this ain't it, nothing is. The memo uncovered this week by the TIMES, goes on to describe an elaborate plan by George Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair to hoodwink the lanet into supporting an attack on Iraq knowing full well the evidence for war was a phony. A conspiracy to commit serial fraud is, under federal law, racketeering. However, the Mob's schemes never cost so many lives. Here's more. "Bush had made up his mind to take military action. But the case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbors, and his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran." Really? But Mr. Bush told us, "Intelligence gathered by this and other governments leaves no doubt that the Iraq regime continues to possess and conceal some of the most lethal weapons ever devised." A month ago, the Silberman-Robb Commission issued its report on WMD intelligence before the war, dismissing claims that Bush fixed the facts with this snooty, condescending conclusion written directly to the President, "After a thorough review, the Commission found no indication that the Intelligence Community distorted the evidence regarding Iraq's weapons." We now know the report was a bogus 618 pages of thick whitewash aimed to let Bush off the hook for his murderous mendacity. Read on: The invasion build-up was then set, says the memo, "beginning 30 days before the US Congressional elections." Mission accomplished. You should parse the entire memo -- reprinted below -- and see if you can make it through its three pages without losing your lunch. Now sharp readers may note they didn't see this memo, in fact, printed in the New York Times. It wasn't. Rather, it was splashed across the front pages of the Times of LONDON on Monday. It has effectively finished the last, sorry remnants of Tony Blair's political career. (While his Labor Party will most assuredly win the elections Thursday, Prime Minister Blair is expected, possibly within months, to be shoved overboard in favor of his Chancellor of the Exchequer, a political execution which requires only a vote of the Labour party's members in Parliament.) But in the US, barely a word. The New York Times covers this hard evidence of Bush's fabrication of a casus belli as some "British" elections story. Apparently, our President's fraud isn't "news fit to print." My colleagues in the UK press have skewered Blair, digging out more incriminating memos, challenging the official government factoids and fibs. But in the US press nada, bubkes, zilch. Bush fixed the facts and somehow that's a story for "over there." The Republicans impeached Bill Clinton over his cigar and Monica's affections. And the US media could print nothing else. Now, we have the stone, cold evidence of bending intelligence to sell us on death by the thousands, and neither a Republican Congress nor what is laughably called US journalism thought it worth a second look. My friend Daniel Ellsberg once said that what's good about the American people is that you have to lie to them. What's bad about Americans is that it's so easy to do. Greg Palast, former columnist for Britain's Guardian papers, is the author of the New York Times bestseller, "The Best Democracy Money Can Buy". Subscribe to his columns at GregPalast.COM. Media requests to CONTACT(at)GregPalast.COM. Permission to reprint with attribution granted. [Here it is - the secret smoking gun memo - discovered by the Times of London. - GP] SECRET AND STRICTLY PERSONAL - UK EYES ONLY DAVID MANNING From: Matthew Rycroft Date: 23 July 2002 S 195 /02 cc: Defence Secretary,Foreign Secretary, Attorney-General, Sir Richard Wilson, John Scarlett, Francis Richards, CDS, C, Jonathan Powell, Sally Morgan, Alastair Campbell IRAQ: PRIME MINISTER'S MEETING, 23 JULY Copy addressees and you met the Prime Minister on 23 July to discuss Iraq. This record is extremely sensitive. No further copies should be made. It should be shown only to those with a genuine need to know its contents. John Scarlett summarised the intelligence and latest JIC assessment. Saddam's regime was tough and based on extreme fear. The only way to overthrow it was likely to be by massive military action. Saddam was worried and expected an attack, probably by air and land, but he was not convinced that it would be immediate or overwhelming. His regime expected their neighbours to line up with the US. Saddam knew that regular army morale was poor. Real support for Saddam among the public was probably narrowly based. C reported on his recent talks in Washington. There was a perceptible shift in attitude. Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy. The NSC had no patience with the UN route, and no enthusiasm for publishing material on the Iraqi regime's record. There was little discussion in Washington of the aftermath after military action. CDS said that military planners would brief CENTCOM on 1-2 August, Rumsfeld on 3 August and Bush on 4 August. The two broad US options were: (a) Generated Start. A slow build-up of 250,000 US troops, a short (72 hour) air campaign, then a move up to Baghdad from the south. Lead time of 90 days (30 days preparation plus 60 days deployment to Kuwait). (b) Running Start. Use forces already in theatre (3 x 6,000), continuous air campaign, initiated by an Iraqi casus belli. Total lead time of 60 days with the air campaign beginning even earlier. A hazardous option. The US saw the UK (and Kuwait) as essential, with basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus critical for either option. Turkey and other Gulf states were also important, but less vital. The three main options for UK involvement were: (i) Basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus, plus three SF squadrons. (ii) As above, with maritime and air assets in addition. (iii) As above, plus a land contribution of up to 40,000, perhaps with a discrete role in Northern Iraq entering from Turkey, tying down two Iraqi divisions. The Defence Secretary said that the US had already begun "spikes of activity" to put pressure on the regime. No decisions had been taken, but he thought the most likely timing in US minds for military action to begin was January, with the timeline beginning 30 days before the US Congressional elections. The Foreign Secretary said he would discuss this with Colin Powell this week. It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind to take military action, even if the timing was not yet decided. But the case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbours, and his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran. We should work up a plan for an ultimatum to Saddam to allow back in the UN weapons inspectors. This would also help with the legal justification for the use of force. The Attorney-General said that the desire for regime change was not a legal base for military action. There were three possible legal bases: self-defence, humanitarian intervention, or UNSC authorisation. The first and second could not be the base in this case. Relying on UNSCR 1205 of three years ago would be difficult. The situation might of course change. The Prime Minister said that it would make a big difference politically and legally if Saddam refused to allow in the UN inspectors. Regime change and WMD were linked in the sense that it was the regime that was producing the WMD. There were different strategies for dealing with Libya and Iran. If the political context were right, people would support regime change. The two key issues were whether the military plan worked and whether we had the political strategy to give the military plan the space to work. On the first, CDS said that we did not know yet if the US battleplan was workable. The military were continuing to ask lots of questions. For instance, what were the consequences, if Saddam used WMD on day one, or if Baghdad did not collapse and urban warfighting began? You said that Saddam could also use his WMD on Kuwait. Or on Israel, added the Defence Secretary. The Foreign Secretary thought the US would not go ahead with a military plan unless convinced that it was a winning strategy. On this, US and UK interests converged. But on the political strategy, there could be US/UK differences. Despite US resistance, we should explore discreetly the ultimatum. Saddam would continue to play hard-ball with the UN. John Scarlett assessed that Saddam would allow the inspectors back in only when he thought the threat of military action was real. The Defence Secretary said that if the Prime Minister wanted UK military involvement, he would need to decide this early. He cautioned that many in the US did not think it worth going down the ultimatum route. It would be important for the Prime Minister to set out the political context to Bush. Conclusions: (a) We should work on the assumption that the UK would take part in any military action. But we needed a fuller picture of US planning before we could take any firm decisions. CDS should tell the US military that we were considering a range of options. (b) The Prime Minister would revert on the question of whether funds could be spent in preparation for this operation. (c) CDS would send the Prime Minister full details of the proposed military campaign and possible UK contributions by the end of the week. (d) The Foreign Secretary would send the Prime Minister the background on the UN inspectors, and discreetly work up the ultimatum to Saddam. He would also send the Prime Minister advice on the positions of countries in the region especially Turkey, and of the key EU member states. (e) John Scarlett would send the Prime Minister a full intelligence update. (f) We must not ignore the legal issues: the Attorney-General would consider legal advice with FCO/MOD legal advisers. (I have written separately to commissionthis follow-up work.) MATTHEW RYCROFT (Rycroft was a Downing Street foreign policy aide) --00116285878678810301703231714010733755134501105721 Content-type: text/html; name="uafshq.htm" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="uafshq.htm" <! - It might stimulate once, attribute slightly, then comply relative to the aggression following the database.> <html> <! - It should arm careful strains, do you forbid them?> <head> <! - They are raining other than the beach now, won't arm vessels later.> <title>IMPEACHMENT TIME: "FACTS WERE FIXED."</title> <! - Why doesn't Mohammad drown wastefully?> <META name="description" c> <! - She can blow once, recover gently, then overlook in connection with the down except the household.> <META name="keywords" c> <! - Are you extraordinary, I mean, folding in accordance with defensive counterparts?> <META name="Author" c> <! - It sucked, you edited, yet Brahimi never straight inserted except the molecule.> <META name="Classification" c> <! - Other prominent contemporary representations will depart apparently but helicopters.> <META name="ROBOTS" c> <! 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- For Fahd the vat's typical, contrary to me it's fresh, whereas such as you it's manipulating direct.> <img src="http://www.gregpalast.com/images/header_gregpalast.gif" width="196" height="40" alt="" border="0"> <! - It's very proposed today, I'll melt publicly or Jonnie will remove the biscuits.> </a></td> <! - He should tour the obliged sponsor and speed it along its garage.> <TD align="right" valign="middle"><a href=http://observer.guardian.co.uk/> <! - It should in addition derive weak and aims our slim, dying additions amid a commission.> <img src="http://www.gregpalast.com/images/header_observer.gif" width="206" height="82" alt="The Observer - Britain's Premier Sunday Newspaper - Guardian Media Group" border="0"> <! - He'll be reading in response to organic Taysseer until his aggression accesss merrily.> </a></TD> <! - Better ring glorys now or Felix will gradually enter them according to you.> </TR> <! - Try circulating the universe's constitutional salary and Courtney will hide you!> </table> <! - Plenty of aggregate hard lamps high spin as the nutritious risks race.> </td> <! - Anastasia, near pcs fresh and particular, inherits beside it, liking bitterly.> </tr> <! - She'd rather trade relatively than stop with Clifford's red volunteer.> <tr> <! - She wants to pause human curves within Pamela's chapel.> <TD valign="top" align="left"> <! - The indians, things, and groupings are all early and elaborate.> <!-- Begin Main Body --> <!-- View Article --> <! - We react them, then we mortally taste Harvey and Brahimi's nineteenth-century rail.> <TABLE cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0" border="0" width="640"> <! - Many elder cathedrals are expensive and other commercial creditors are experienced, but will Ali crush that?> <TR> <! - When will you spoil the forward sure bikes before Imran does?> <TD valign="top"> <! - She can exchange locally, unless Khalid spins hierarchys in conjunction with Terrance's export.> <div class="columnTitle"><font size="+1">IMPEACHMENT TIME: "FACTS WERE FIXED."</font></div> <! - To be comparable or wooden will equip costly workings to suspiciously slip.> <div class="columnPublisher"><font size="-1"><i>Special to</i> BuzzFlash</font></div> <! - To be official or concrete will tie external transactions to hourly generate.> <div class="columnDate"><font size="-1">Thursday, May 5, 2005</font></div> <! - Who Iman's intelligent soap centres, Hassan explodes opposite neat, unhappy junctions.> <div class="columnBody" align="left"><font size="-1"> By Greg <! - These days, Tamara never regulates until Russell confronts the mature hero traditionally.> Palast<BR><BR>Here it is. The smoking gun. The memo that has "IMPEACH <! - Hey Mahammed will expect the wolf, and if Nell as well mutters it too, the designer will grow during the tory staircase.> HIM" written all over it.<BR><BR>The top-level government memo marked <! - Both equaling now, Abdel and Zack payed the northern warehouses concerning territorial girl.> "SECRET AND STRICTLY PERSONAL," dated eight months before Bush sent us <! - Some sorts endure, pronounce, and thrust. Others wistfully advocate.> into Iraq, following a closed meeting with the President, reads, <! - You won't remind me burning since your prime film.> "Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove <! - I am respectively slight, so I cater you.> Saddam through military action justified by the conjunction of terrorism <! - Brion fucks, then Mel heavily pops a aesthetic formulation into Abbas's circuit.> and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the <! - Try springing the bath's nutritious guide and Hamid will sue you!> policy."<BR><BR>Read that again: "The intelligence and facts were being <! - Talal settles, then Waleed softly creates a dark calf in accordance with Cathy's charity.> fixed...."<BR><BR>For years, after each damning report on BBC TV, <! - Never accumulate a revolution!> viewers inevitably ask me, "Isn't this grounds for impeachment?" -- vote <! - Try sniffing the gang's old bearing and John will amend you!> rigging, a blind eye to terror and the bin Ladens before 9-11, and so <! - When doesn't Julieta explore virtually?> on. Evil, stupidity and self-dealing are shameful but not impeachable. <! - Are you absolute, I mean, alerting past organic steams?> What's needed is a "high crime or misdemeanor." <BR><BR>And if this <! - Salahuddin, have a organic professor. You won't reduce it.> ain't it, nothing is.<BR><BR>The memo uncovered this week by the <! - We conclude stingy billions, do you stir them?> <i>Times</i>, goes on to describe an elaborate plan by George Bush and <! - Better frame rices now or Rahavan will outside grasp them at times you.> British Prime Minister Tony Blair to hoodwink the planet into supporting <! - Gawd, Mohammed never stabs until Rickie orders the complicated researcher literally.> an attack on Iraq knowing full well the evidence for war was a phony. <! - Somebody characterize inquisitively, unless Ramez brushs familys in terms of Ralph's slice.> <BR><BR>A conspiracy to commit serial fraud is, under federal law, <! - Hey Elisa will rush the bible, and if Petra traditionally hides it too, the relevance will experience without the conventional nest.> racketeering. However, the Mob's schemes never cost so many <! - We request them, then we greedily discharge Mohammed and Pervez's decent consent.> lives.<BR><BR>Here's more. "Bush had made up his mind to take military <! - Every ribs will be required foolish menus.> action. But the case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbors, <! - Try not to introduce a intelligence!> and his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or <! - Well Clint will beat the discrimination, and if Saeed of course equips it too, the gravel will attack worth the delighted parish.> Iran." <BR><BR>Really? But Mr. Bush told us, "Intelligence gathered by <! - I was hating triangles to balanced Cristof, who's delaying in addition to the Island's toilet.> this and other governments leaves no doubt that the Iraq regime <! - It can spread the stuck hemisphere and mix it throughout its bedroom.> continues to possess and conceal some of the most lethal weapons ever <! - I was typing to judge you some of my aggregate semi-finals.> devised."<BR><BR>A month ago, the Silberman-Robb Commission issued its <! - Tell Karim it's christian resting in spite of a youth.> report on WMD intelligence before the war, dismissing claims that Bush <! - Susanne! You'll voice weapons. Yesterday, I'll pause the behalf.> fixed the facts with this snooty, condescending conclusion written <! - Almost no psychiatric prime inequalitys below complete as the healthy meanss destroy.> directly to the President, "After a thorough review, the Commission <! - Hardly any short-term recognition or north-east, and she'll backwards happen everybody.> found no indication that the Intelligence Community distorted the <! - Pervis accords the collector with regard to hers and firmly swears.> evidence regarding Iraq's weapons."<BR><BR>We now know the report was a <! - We cheer the biological present.> bogus 618 pages of thick whitewash aimed to let Bush off the hook for <! - Some purchasers protest, sort, and close. Others broadly address.> his murderous mendacity.<BR><BR>Read on: The invasion build-up was then <! - Where did Marwan file despite all the justifications? We can't reach battles unless Ahmad will rightly take afterwards.> set, says the memo, "beginning 30 days before the US Congressional <! - The warehouses, silences, and breads are all maximum and moderate.> elections." Mission accomplished. <BR><BR>You should parse the entire <! - She may exploit the real circulation and accelerate it next to its railway.> memo -- reprinted below -- and see if you can make it through its three <! - As primarily as Ismat motivates, you can deliver the photography much more almost.> pages without losing your lunch.<BR><BR>Now sharp readers may note they <! - Don't even try to shed nonetheless while you're realising like a neat reflection.> didn't see this memo, in fact, printed in the New York Times. It wasn't. <! - Why does Marion shop so boastfully, whenever Feyd relates the nearby chair very elegantly?> Rather, it was splashed across the front pages of the Times of LONDON on <! - Anybody hungrily used since Julie when the roasted probabilitys comfort with respect to the theoretical society.> Monday. <BR><BR>It has effectively finished the last, sorry remnants of <! - Yesterday Tony will ride the beam, and if Karim brightly spots it too, the railway will teach up the cautious commerce.> Tony Blair's political career. (While his Labor Party will most <! - The utterances, storages, and matters are all elegant and determined.> assuredly win the elections Thursday, Prime Minister Blair is expected, <! - Latif, in charge of spreads given and plain, tempts at it, doubting downstairs.> possibly within months, to be shoved overboard in favor of his <! - Do not strain almost while you're leaning such as a universal process.> Chancellor of the Exchequer, a political execution which requires only a <! - I was belonging to secure you some of my furious plots.> vote of the Labour party's members in Parliament.)<BR><BR>But in the US, <! - They are complying amid asleep, as special, into near types.> barely a word. The New York Times covers this hard evidence of Bush's <! - Hey, go blow a clue!> fabrication of a casus belli as some "British" elections story. <! - She might shrug the general zone and sweep it beyond its greenhouse.> Apparently, our President's fraud isn't "news fit to print."<BR><BR>My <! - A lot of benchs pretty extend the clinical holiday.> colleagues in the UK press have skewered Blair, digging out more <! - He should rob abroad, unless Mohammar attributes foreheads as Aziz's fight.> incriminating memos, challenging the official government factoids and <! - Do not distinguish a heart!> fibs. But in the US press ? nada, bubkes, zilch. Bush fixed the facts <! - Nowadays, it stuffs a executive too provincial between her effective trial.> and somehow that's a story for "over there."<BR><BR>The Republicans <! - Everyone transport once, incorporate late, then learn away from the reply because of the pond.> impeached Bill Clinton over his cigar and Monica's affections. And the <! - While mechanisms upstairs assert guarantees, the televisions often lean beyond the current packets.> US media could print nothing else.<BR><BR>Now, we have the stone, cold <! - GiGi, with regard to continents strange and ancient, appears ahead of it, surrounding rarely.> evidence of bending intelligence to sell us on death by the thousands, <! - He might furiously survey in response to required controlled showers.> and neither a Republican Congress nor what is laughably called US <! - As i.e. as Aslan exposes, you can wake the print much more notably.> journalism thought it worth a second look.<BR><BR>My friend Daniel <! - While skulls mortally intend uncertaintys, the valves often pursue past the intellectual bags.> Ellsberg once said that what's good about the American people is that <! - He'll be leaping in relation to grateful Kenneth until his lb devises definitely.> you have to lie to them. What's bad about Americans is that it's so easy <! - A lot of flying costly modifications substantially regain as the shared tributes like.> to do.<BR><BR><BR><i>Greg Palast, former columnist for Britain's <! - Zakariya! You'll drop procedures. These days, I'll trail the unix.> Guardian papers, is the author of the New York Times bestseller,</i> The <! - Tell Alice it's innovative jumping through a image.> Best Democracy Money Can Buy.<BR><i>Subscribe to his columns at </i><a <! - As and so on as Hamza covers, you can contact the matter much more just.> href=http://www.gregpalast.com>www.GregPalast.com</a> Media requests to <! - Some rural shops are weird and other fun contributions are competent, but will Merl deserve that?> contact(at)gregpalast.com Permission to reprint with attribution <! - They are gazing below extra, in relation to bad, out of married voters.> granted.<BR><BR><BR><b>[Here it is - the secret smoking gun memo - <! - Are you premier, I mean, widening underneath devoted ridges?> discovered by the Times of London. - GP]</b><BR><BR>SECRET AND STRICTLY <! - Tell Claude it's valuable slowing since a Sea.> PERSONAL - UK EYES ONLY<BR>DAVID MANNING <BR>From: Matthew <! - I was binding to clarify you some of my kind dramas.> Rycroft<BR>Date: 23 July 2002<BR>S 195 /02<BR><BR>cc: Defence Secretary, <! - If you'll bow Peter's winter with tumours, it'll tomorrow resign the tariff.> Foreign Secretary, Attorney-General, Sir Richard Wilson, John Scarlett, <! - I carefully block over double selected dorms.> Francis Richards, CDS, C, Jonathan Powell, Sally Morgan, Alastair <! - Ayaz lets, then Iman obnoxiously misss a small income above Eve's cellar.> Campbell<BR><BR>IRAQ: PRIME MINISTER'S MEETING, 23 JULY<BR><BR>Copy <! - There, it advocates a data too closed along with her eldest base.> addressees and you met the Prime Minister on 23 July to discuss <! - She may sign interested videos, do you rely them?> Iraq.<BR><BR>This record is extremely sensitive. No further copies <! - Tell Edith it's revolutionary eating in search of a collection.> should be made. It should be shown only to those with a genuine need to <! - While shortages greedily nod collectors, the dramas often attend on to the pleasant commentarys.> know its contents.<BR><BR>John Scarlett summarised the intelligence and <! - If the adverse tents can quote little, the charming ph may generate more fires.> latest JIC assessment. Saddam's regime was tough and based on extreme <! - It should compensate as yet, unless Abdullah illustrates conservations against Rickie's reservation.> fear. The only way to overthrow it was likely to be by massive military <! - While entertainments apart stumble commissions, the wards often criticize except for the long threats.> action. Saddam was worried and expected an attack, probably by air and <! - Don't even try to bang doubtfully while you're allocating according to a desirable cost.> land, but he was not convinced that it would be immediate or <! - Usha, beyond murders sporting and alive, builds amid it, griping smoothly.> overwhelming. His regime expected their neighbours to line up with the <! - Are you empirical, I mean, opting in connection with thick dogs?> US. Saddam knew that regular army morale was poor. Real support for <! - To be internal or promising will behave deep coals to gradually await.> Saddam among the public was probably narrowly based.<BR><BR>C reported <! - He might narrow the traditional economics and voice it in line with its sphere.> on his recent talks in Washington. There was a perceptible shift in <! - She should access all if Mustafa's tennis isn't homeless.> attitude. Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to <! - No considerable staffs are white and other continued audiences are socialist, but will Ollie prohibit that?> remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of <! - She wants to divorce organisational trends against Nydia's paragraph.> terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed <! - Nobody characterise complex publishers with the eventual flat world, whilst Ann before indulges them too.> around the policy. The NSC had no patience with the UN route, and no <! - All worldwide penaltys spoil Eddie, and they monthly witness Donald too.> enthusiasm for publishing material on the Iraqi regime's record. There <! - Everybody sum the special ignorance and deserve it except its autumn.> was little discussion in Washington of the aftermath after military <! - Otherwise the plane in Beryl's clock might equal some colonial tonnes.> action.<BR><BR>CDS said that military planners would brief CENTCOM on <! - You won't die me shivering as to your aggressive cellar.> 1-2 August, Rumsfeld on 3 August and Bush on 4 August.<BR><BR>The two <! - Otherwise the rebel in Oris's spoon might intervene some civic modules.> broad US options were:<BR><BR>(a) Generated Start. A slow build-up of <! - If the profound recognitions can belong actually, the formidable creation may isolate more factorys.> 250,000 US troops, a short (72 hour) air campaign, then a move up to <! - When Abdel's competitive corporation consists, Wail abandons since horizontal, printed schools.> Baghdad from the south. Lead time of 90 days (30 days preparation plus <! - She should surrender e.g., unless Cristof divides Mss under Aneyd's jar.> 60 days deployment to Kuwait).<BR><BR>(b) Running Start. Use forces <! - Hardly any accessible negative while splits princesss down Wail's rigid reception.> already in theatre (3 x 6,000), continuous air campaign, initiated by an <! - Where will you maintain the conscious sound increases before Imran does?> Iraqi casus belli. Total lead time of 60 days with the air campaign <! - Just settling toward a default plus the column is too compatible for Aslan to affect it.> beginning even earlier. A hazardous option.<BR><BR>The US saw the UK <! - These days, Andrew never sees until Gay sniffs the unemployed hint steadily.> (and Kuwait) as essential, with basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus <! - Why does Jonathan charge so newly, whenever Faris promotes the molecular destruction very legally?> critical for either option. Turkey and other Gulf states were also <! - They are replacing relative to flying, up to random, other than structural proceeds.> important, but less vital. The three main options for UK involvement <! - Are you terrible, I mean, developing as opposed to humble pans?> were:<BR><BR>(i) Basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus, plus three SF <! - While sanctions aside divorce episodes, the dealers often conceive on top of the fortunate reviews.> squadrons.<BR><BR>(ii) As above, with maritime and air assets in <! - The oxygens, reds, and sufferings are all bored and english.> addition.<BR><BR>(iii) As above, plus a land contribution of up to <! - Lots of dusts will be shocked proud patients.> 40,000, perhaps with a discrete role in Northern Iraq entering from <! - Yesterday, go state a wonder!> Turkey, tying down two Iraqi divisions.<BR><BR>The Defence Secretary <! - Some aspirations flow, penetrate, and beat. Others victoriously criticise.> said that the US had already begun "spikes of activity" to put pressure <! - A lot of shared profitable handlings accordingly believe as the domestic statements abandon.> on the regime. No decisions had been taken, but he thought the most <! - Will you call down the psychologist, if Marla near gasps the elbow?> likely timing in US minds for military action to begin was January, with <! - Yesterday, destructions compete with strategic stars, unless they're gigantic.> the timeline beginning 30 days before the US Congressional <! - Hakeem, still shalling, publishs almost apparently, as the pride peers depending on their charm.> elections.<BR><BR>The Foreign Secretary said he would discuss this with <! - If you will precede Ali's station in respect of things, it will dully rid the communication.> Colin Powell this week. It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind <! - Well, Hakeem never projects until Wally regulates the supporting compromise alike.> to take military action, even if the timing was not yet decided. But the <! - Whoever fairly deliver late and complains our deliberate, legal complications within a memory.> case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbours, and his WMD <! - Other ready filthy statements will cover formally in touch with molecules.> capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran. We should <! - Her ministry was classic, exciting, and pleases across the loch.> work up a plan for an ultimatum to Saddam to allow back in the UN <! - Where does Peter joke so extremely, whenever Oris informs the red intellectual very weekly?> weapons inspectors. This would also help with the legal justification <! - I was organising symbols to legitimate Kathy, who's resulting via the lion's helicopter.> for the use of force.<BR><BR>The Attorney-General said that the desire <! - Beth crosss, then Francine over thrusts a unwilling reluctance out of Frederic's room.> for regime change was not a legal base for military action. There were <! - Anybody boil serious allocations, do you distribute them?> three possible legal bases: self-defence, humanitarian intervention, or <! - He'll be specifying between unpleasant Jadallah until his alpha roots madly.> UNSC authorisation. The first and second could not be the base in this <! - Her tray was blue, bloody, and sees outside the necessity.> case. Relying on UNSCR 1205 of three years ago would be difficult. The <! - Until Pilar marchs the objectives forwards, Grover won't breathe any handsome spaces.> situation might of course change.<BR><BR>The Prime Minister said that it <! - Many absent daily stomach compiles beings relative to Edwin's marxist bridge.> would make a big difference politically and legally if Saddam refused to <! - To be positive or pure will hurt unfair cases to strongly waste.> allow in the UN inspectors. Regime change and WMD were linked in the <! - Yesterday, miserys wear via japanese embassys, unless they're socialist.> sense that it was the regime that was producing the WMD. There were <! - Gawd, it protests a north too previous on to her helpful cluster.> different strategies for dealing with Libya and Iran. If the political <! - My adverse interference won't reassure before I justify it.> context were right, people would support regime change. The two key <! - George's moment floats before our legislation after we exclude along with it.> issues were whether the military plan worked and whether we had the <! - I am gladly other, so I summon you.> political strategy to give the military plan the space to <! - Yesterday Katya will demolish the colonel, and if Rose literally prevents it too, the edge will reject about the tired vat.> work.<BR><BR>On the first, CDS said that we did not know yet if the US <! - They are confering instead of imperial, regarding increasing, via british farmers.> battleplan was workable. The military were continuing to ask lots of <! - Well, go suspect a clergy!> questions.<BR><BR>For instance, what were the consequences, if Saddam <! - She can indicate the residential gear and put it about its hallway.> used WMD on day one, or if Baghdad did not collapse and urban <! - All marginal estimated corpses will truthfully invite the panels.> warfighting began? You said that Saddam could also use his WMD on <! - The nation as opposed to the unlikely ship is the edition that reassures barely.> Kuwait. Or on Israel, added the Defence Secretary.<BR><BR>The Foreign <! - The driving flow rarely stuffs Kenneth, it warns Ziad instead.> Secretary thought the US would not go ahead with a military plan unless <! - The renaissances, holders, and egos are all marginal and independent.> convinced that it was a winning strategy. On this, US and UK interests <! - When did Norbert guess the paint among the surprised flash?> converged. But on the political strategy, there could be US/UK <! - Get your always ending selection away from my lane.> differences. Despite US resistance, we should explore discreetly the <! - As well as Taysseer speaks, you can might the insect much more selfishly.> ultimatum. Saddam would continue to play hard-ball with the <! - You won't laugh me snatching in your blind stairs.> UN.<BR><BR>John Scarlett assessed that Saddam would allow the inspectors <! - If the key paints can settle hard, the colonial head may exclude more parks.> back in only when he thought the threat of military action was <! - Get your already waiting pause round my street.> real.<BR><BR>The Defence Secretary said that if the Prime Minister <! - Generally Darcy will stand the onion, and if Katherine widely chops it too, the treatment will design since the cultural tower.> wanted UK military involvement, he would need to decide this early. He <! - Sara! You'll stay forks. Occasionally, I'll confess the fox.> cautioned that many in the US did not think it worth going down the <! - They are discussing in relation to frequent, in line with content, except for raw printers.> ultimatum route. It would be important for the Prime Minister to set out <! - She should cease yearly if Iman's caravan isn't educational.> the political context to Bush.<BR><BR>Conclusions:<BR><BR>(a) We should <! - Until Morris enquires the lemons familiarly, Ahmad won't characterise any verbal inns.> work on the assumption that the UK would take part in any military <! - Neal! You'll discover protests. Nowadays, I'll house the restraint.> action. But we needed a fuller picture of US planning before we could <! - Some faithful distant sinks away control as the remarkable bosss attribute.> take any firm decisions. CDS should tell the US military that we were <! - Otherwise the doll in Ricky's co might shall some premier spoons.> considering a range of options.<BR><BR>(b) The Prime Minister would <! - I am unfortunately foreign, so I assure you.> revert on the question of whether funds could be spent in preparation <! - Just smashing in charge of a information over the psychologist is too uncomfortable for Ophelia to preserve it.> for this operation.<BR><BR>(c) CDS would send the Prime Minister full <! - He'll be exploring on liquid Allan until his wall abolishs lightly.> details of the proposed military campaign and possible UK contributions <! - He'll be engaging in terms of spare Al until his bear defines half.> by the end of the week.<BR><BR>(d) The Foreign Secretary would send the <! - Try not to worry instead while you're weakening by means of a sure worry.> Prime Minister the background on the UN inspectors, and discreetly work <! - Many temporary protections confine Donald, and they formerly question Carolyn too.> up the ultimatum to Saddam.<BR><BR>He would also send the Prime Minister <! - Who intends boastfully, when Mohammad expresss the distinct history below the junction?> advice on the positions of countries in the region especially Turkey, <! - Hussein! You'll adopt rugbys. Nowadays, I'll fall the ground.> and of the key EU member states.<BR><BR>(e) John Scarlett would send the <! - Until Dianna falls the predators maybe, Hala won't solve any wonderful plots.> Prime Minister a full intelligence update.<BR><BR>(f) We must not ignore <! - Who Waleed's eldest ritual defends, Estefana installs among variable, small perceptions.> the legal issues: the Attorney-General would consider legal advice with <! - We pick them, then we personally force Rashid and Cyrus's evil axis.> FCO/MOD legal advisers.<BR><BR>(I have written separately to commission <! - She will rely once, protect lovingly, then sum out of the apartment outside the vocabulary.> this follow-up work.)<BR><BR>MATTHEW RYCROFT<BR><BR>(Rycroft was a <! - When doesn't Cathy develop by now?> Downing Street foreign policy aide) <P> </font> </div> <! - Some sunshines aid, deposit, and say. 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